Gavyn Davies of the Financial Times pegs it at about $6 trillion in lost output, even if the U.S. economy grows at 3.8 percent clip between now and 2016 (which is an awfully sunny forecast):
“GDP will remain far below potential for several more years, and the unemployment rate will remain considerably above the structural unemployment rate. Put simply, there will be a massive further wastage of economic resources. A rough calculation suggests that the cumulative loss of GDP from the Great Recession of 2007-16 will amount to $5,900 billion, of which about $2,200 billion is still to come in the next five years.”
The U.S. Commerce Department will release its report on third-quarter GDP on Thursday.
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