Pages

Friday, September 16, 2011

So who grows our economy? Dem or GOP Presidents?

This has been around for a while, but it is staggering in the light of our current economic downturn.


Why would anyone want to change to a Republican President again, especially right now?
Here is a link to a video where Rachel Maddow deconstructs this and explains it.




Thursday, September 15, 2011

Quote of the day: Carville

My favorite quote today is James Carville at CNN blog:
As I watch the Republican debates, I realize that we are on the brink of a crazy person running our nation. I sit in front of the television and shudder at the thought of one of these creationism-loving, global-warming-denying, immigration-bashing, Social-Security-cutting, clean-air-hating, mortality-fascinated, Wall-Street-protecting Republicans running my country.
Gotta love the passion.

Wednesday, September 14, 2011

The needs of the many, outweigh the needs of the few, or the one...

If you're a Trekkie (I must admit to being a modest, closet Trek-ophile) then you know the title of this post is a line used in a Star Trek movie, said by Spock as he makes the ultimate sacrifice of his own life to save the crew of the Enterprise. But I think it is instructive to the political argument we are having today. I had a recent email exchange with a friend, and this is my last retort. The topic is how best to reduce US debt.

As is always the case, the most difficult part of discussing something as complex is this is agreeing on a few things; the first step is to agree on what the problem is, second to agree on the levers to fix it, and finally one must weigh the potential pros and cons of pulling each lever. This last area is the most difficult - as it touches the heart of people's ideology and in some cases religion.

First, I think we agree the main problem is US debt which is very high and we need a comprehensive plan to reduce it over time (probably 10-20 years in order to avoid the shock to the economy if we move too abruptly). I think we agree.

Next step is more difficult, what are the levers we should pull? 

There are a large contingent of more conservative-minded individuals who believe the levers that must be pulled are to end social programs - under the rationale that they are too expensive for us to afford and are only getting more so with our aging population. But certainly reducing or even ending this budget item is an option.

There are still others that argue that our tax system needs reform, as it is endlessly leaving money on the table that could be used to fund government activities. Not only that but it is dis-proportionally applied to some but not others. One could say much more - but let's just agree that tax reform is something that needs to happen and a topic upon which most everyone can agree - let's lower the rates and broaden the base. That's a legitimate and useful option.

There are still others that, while they might support tax reform, believe wealthy Americans, while paying a large portion, still pay too little. The evidence for this is pretty strong (one can blame loopholes or tax breaks, but probably it's both). Here's the evidence that our income inequality is staggering and getting worse.

FACTS: 
  • The richest 1 percent of Americans, (a mere 32,000 people) now take home almost 24 percent of US income, up from almost 9 percent in 1976
  • The top 10% (a mere 320,000 Americans) now own almost half of US income
  • The bottom 50% of Americans (some 1.6M Americans) owns only 2.5% of US income
  • The United States now arguably has a more unequal distribution of wealth than traditional banana republics like Nicaragua, Venezuela and Guyana 
Clearly wealthy individuals ("job creators" as the GOP likes to call them) (or "risk takers" as [another friend] likes to call them); clearly they are not being asked to pay too much - quite the opposite. How else can you explain this income disparity, especially while middle-class incomes don't even keep up with modest inflation rates. You know what happens if this is allowed to continue - well, just recall Marie Antoinette. The needs of the many will, sooner or later, have to be satisfied, and in the end the only way that can happen is to decrease the wealth of the few. I doubt we agree on that - but to me it's simple math. It won't fit a Libertarian, or even Conservative ideology, but to me there are no other options that create a healthy society. It's the cost of getting wealthy - and after all, without a strong middle-class, the free market engine that made all us wealthy people, will cease to function.

Regulation is too complex to summarize, but I would love to see real-world examples of regulation strangulation. I have read many articles claiming that while yes, there are too many regulations, specific job-killing examples are not that easy to find. Still, Obama has correctly announced the removal of hundreds of regulations based on recommendations from a task force he set in motion some time ago.

But we should try to agree that government regulations are important. They protect markets, protect consumers, protect the environment, level the playing fields of commerce, etc etc. So while this is a difficult topic to summarize, I will stipulate that a general reduction in regulation that maintains the basic and necessary function of government to counter-balance business interests as a means of protecting common societal interests is in order. I would argue for more regulation than you probably, but we cannot just ignore the fact that in past "l'aissez faire" times of almost no or at least low government regulation, people were afraid to buy meat, rivers burned for months on end based on business pollution and dumping, and smog once clogged our cities with unbreathable air . Visit Beijing some time and you'll remember that government regulation - while needing to be practical - is important to everyone.

So finally this leads us to the heart of the matter - weighing the pros and cons of pulling some of the above levers but perhaps not others. Let's say you pull some of all of these levers. I think that could work. But the current debate is miles from that balance. The debate today revolves around trying to balance all of the pain of economic recovery and debt reduction on the middle-class - who remember already have stagnate wages and are more at risk, increasingly so, of falling into poverty - the poverty figures came out yesterday and all segments but seniors (protected by Social Security and Medicare after all) have increased markedly. 

The negative outcome of ending Social Security - rather than reforming it (which must be done), or ending Medicare - rather than reforming it (which must be done) are catastrophic. I don't believe any thinking person can come to the conclusion that social safety nets are a luxury we can live without - but I fear I am wrong in that assertion and many, many people believe social safety nets need to die. And this is where the argument needs to be had.

I think a plurality of Americans can find a way to agree with most everything up to the last paragraph. The pain of this recovery and debt reduction has to be shared by all - from the baseline of where we are today as still the strongest nation and largest, most successful economy in the world. We must reform social programs, and we must ask the wealthy and corporations to pay their fair share - and that means more (at least for now).

The cost to society, and the eventual harm that will come to the wealthy from pounding the middle-class even more, is not a good result and eventually will lead to the breakdown of our society and at some point we potentially risk that a mob will rise to take back those riches that today are so stacked into the accounts of so few.

The whole deal in one headline...

Headline of the Day: Senate Republicans are filibustering disaster aid


That sort of sums it up doesn't it? Where do you stand?

Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Congressional Reform Act

“The Constitution is not an instrument for the government to restrain the people; it is an instrument for the people to restrain the government - lest it come to dominate our lives and interests”.

The 26th amendment (granting the right to vote for 18 year-olds) took only 3 months & 8 days to be ratified! Why? Simple! The people demanded it. That was in 1971...before computers, before e-mail, before cell phones, etc.
Of the 27 amendments to the Constitution, seven (7) took 1 year or less to become the law of the land...all because of public pressure. I'm asking each addressee to forward this email to a minimum of twenty people on their address list; in turn ask each of those to do likewise. Most of all, get the message to your Congressman. In three days, most people in The United States of America will have the message. This is one idea that really should be passed around.
Congressional Reform Act of 2011
  1. No Tenure / No Pension. A Congressman collects a salary while in office and receives no pay when they are out of office
  2. Congress (past, present & future) participates in Social Security
  3. All funds in the Congressional retirement fund move to the Social Security system immediately. All future funds flow into the Social Security system, and Congress participates with the American people. It may not be used for any other purpose
  4. Congress can purchase their own retirement plan, just as all Americans do
  5. Congress will no longer vote themselves a pay raise. Congressional pay will rise by the lower of CPI or 3%
  6. Congress loses their current health care system and participates in the same health care system as the American people
  7. Congress must equally abide by all laws they impose on the American people
  8. All contracts with past and present Congressmen are void effective 1/1/12
  9. The American people did not make this contract with Congressmen. Congressmen made all these contracts for themselves. Serving in Congress is an honor, not a career. The Founding Fathers envisioned citizen legislators, so ours should serve their term(s), then go home and back to work. 
  10. No attaching of a balanced budget amendment to this act that ties the governments hands during a crisis. Federal governments run deficits for a reason.
If each person who reads this, copies it and sends it to a minimum of twenty people then it will only take three days for most people (in the U.S. ) to receive the message. Maybe it is time.

THIS IS HOW YOU FIX CONGRESS.




Thursday, August 18, 2011

Christine ("I am not a witch") O'Donnell walks out of interview

Christine ("I am not a witch") O'Donnell walked out of an interview with Piers Morgan on CNN when he asked her about her views on gay marriage - which appear in the book she was there to promote (apparently). Isn't it wonderful when bigots get called out, then prove that the questioner is correct in asking the question. Clearly she believes her religious beliefs give her the right to bash gay marriage, but the interviewer does not have the right to ask. How deeply strange and confused are religious people like her. Seriously, if you have a view, why are you afraid to talk about it? Could it be that your view is bigoted and wrong? Yes, I suppose it is hard to talk about your own bigotry honestly. Perhaps Christine, that means you should change you view eh? Ever thought of that? Probably not, as for the religiously enslaved, that would be "against god". Sadly, I know lots of people like this well, having grown up in evangelical Texas.

Monday, August 15, 2011

Strategy vs Reality

You know you are watching a strategic meltdown when voices within the GOP start questioning the strategy and start sounding like Progressives.

Remember, the GOP strategy clearly is:

  1. Oppose anything Obama supports, even GOP ideas (e.g. individual mandate, tax reform, etc)
  2. Say with complete confidence that any tax increases are job-killing, despite the complete lack of evidence
  3. Talk endlessly about the deficit, even though cuts will slow an already slow economy
  4. Blame Obama then for the lack of new jobs, even though the GOP won't allow any bill to stimulate jobs
  5. Blame Obama for creating "an atmosphere of business uncertainty", but completely ignore GOP efforts that undermine business certainty to a much greater degree (invented debt ceiling crisis)
  6. If anything bad happens in the economy because of GOP actions, remember it's "Obama's fault"
  7. Ignore any pangs of guilt from your extreme hypocrisy and lack of intellectual integrity
  8. Put party power over the good of the country, as GOP power is more important than 8 million unemployed people, most of whom won't vote GOP anyway
  9. And finally, never answer the question, "What's the opposite of country first?"
But today there are voices in the GOP questioning the strategy...uh oh...
Many right-leaning policy voices think the economy needs more short-term stimulus, reports Jackie Calmes: "The boasts of Congressional Republicans about their cost-cutting victories are ringing hollow to some well-known economists, financial analysts and corporate leaders, including some Republicans, who are expressing increasing alarm over Washington’s new austerity and antitax orthodoxy...Among those calling for a mix of cuts and revenue are onetime standard-bearers of Republican economic philosophy like Martin Feldstein, an adviser to President Ronald Reagan, and Henry M. Paulson Jr., Treasury secretary to President George W. Bush, underscoring the deepening divide between party establishment figures and the Tea Party-inspired Republicans in Congress and running for the White House."